Faith and weather to believe

The forecast for this weekend is still split between two camps.
The national weather service and most places I normally get my information
are all saying about 1 inch/2.5cm of snow.
The local folks on the TV stations are saying “the national weather service
models are wrong” and they are predicting up to 14”/35cm. But, even they
say “if the storm moves as predicted there will be very little snow, so
this is the worst case.”

So, this leaves me in a quandary on where to put my faith.
The national weather service that does the whole country and might not be
as good on the small local level.
Or the local folks who are known to be somewhat “enthusiastic” in their
predictions of major storms as it is a huge ratings boost to them as
everyone tunes in for details.
I’m certainly hoping it is the lesser amount so we can have dress rehearsal
as planned.